Ground Cover Issue 114 - Climate Forecasting

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Ground Cover issue 114 Supplement cover

Climate Forecasting

A decade ago seasonal forecasting in Australia was done using a fraction of the real-time data and computer power scientists have access to today. As a consequence of technical advances, accuracy in seasonal forecasts is much higher now but there is still room for improvement.

The development of improved forecasting services is an investment priority for the GRDC. The Managing Climate Variability (MCV) program, which began more than 10 years ago, has a strong focus on improving the weather prediction skill of the Bureau of Meteorology’s most advanced forecast model, Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA).

A suite of projects detailed in this Ground Cover Supplement are tackling specific aspects of the POAMA model’s skill – including its capacity to predict the Indian Ocean Dipole and other long-term drivers of Australian weather. Information and tools being generated via the MCV research program are helping growers adjust to an increasingly variable climate.

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